If
you're like most Americans, you probably didn't make a new year's resolution to
get started with long-term financial planning.
A
staggering 84 percent of respondents to a New Year's Resolution Survey from
Allianz Life Insurance said that financial planning was
not among their 2014 resolutions at all—the highest percentage ever to reveal
that in the survey's history.
What
held them back? Well, 30 percent said they don't believe they make enough money
to "worry" about financial planning. That's bizarre. Shouldn't having
less money increase your need to manage what you have effectively?
Regardless
of your situation, I hope you'll engage in the planning process this year—and
the sooner you get started, the better.
The
advice my firm is giving our clients in 2014 features many themes often
repeated over our 25-year history, along with some new information reflecting
what's happening now. Here are eight key elements:
·
Maintain a well-diversified investment
portfolio. Although the economy is improving, the stock market is at an all-time
high and corporate profits are setting records, much weakness and uncertainty
remain. Therefore, this is no time to make big bets. For that reason, we
continue to advocate extensive global diversification. Stocks should include
U.S. and foreign companies of all sorts: large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap;
growth and value; and emerging markets. Your portfolio should also include real
estate (diversified by type and geography) and bonds (government and corporate,
U.S. and foreign—more on duration later), as well as natural resources,
including precious metals, oil and gas. One of the most cost-effective ways to
accomplish this is through exchange traded funds
·
Rebalance the portfolio as needed. Most
people never rebalance their portfolios, which can cause their risks to rise
and profits to fall. And many who do rebalance do so on a calendar basis. We
eschew that method as inefficient—who's to say you need to issue
buys/sells/trades just because it's June 30? That's why we rebalance our
clients' accounts on a percentage basis. When a portfolio drifts beyond
preset limits, we rebalance—as often or as seldom as necessary. This requires a
daily review of each portfolio, a chore our clients happily delegate to us. But
you can do it, too, if you are willing to take the time.
·
Avoid long-term bonds. The strengthening
economy will eventually cause the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates—and
when that happens, bond prices will fall. For that reason, we are placing
almost all of our clients' bond positions in short- and intermediate-duration
bond funds. This will help reduce interest-rate risk while maintaining diversification.
·
Contribute the maximum to your retirement
plan at work. If you can't put in the full amount now, increase your
contribution each year until you can. And commit to placing half of future pay
raises in the plan.
·
Avoid Initial Public Offerings. IPOs got a
lot of attention last year, largely thanks to Twitter, but it seems Facebook's
IPO has been forgotten. Instead of trying to grab the latest hot stock,
remember that your diversified ETFs probably will obtain the stock for
you—meaning, you don't have to try to succeed by "getting rich
quick."
·
Review your estate plan. Look at your will,
trust documents, powers of attorney and beneficiaries on your retirement
accounts, annuities and life insurance policies. People may have died or been
born since you signed the documents, or you might not still feel as you once
did about heirs. Reading the documents will give you the opportunity to update
them.
·
Save for college with 529 plans. They let
your money grow tax-free and are flexible enough to cover all
expenses—including tuition, room and board and books—at any accredited college,
public or private, anywhere.
·
And here's what not to do. We do not
recommend variable life insurance policies, nontraded real estate investment
trusts, hedge funds, "alternative" funds, master limited partnerships
investing in oil and gas, fixed or equity-indexed annuities, actively managed
retail mutual funds, inverse funds, commodities trading, derivatives,
short-selling, buying on margin, lottery tickets or viatical settlements
(purchases of life insurance policies from the terminally ill).
If
you don't have a comprehensive long-term financial plan for yourself and your
family, get one from an independent, objective, fee-based financial planner. I
can't think of a better new year's resolution.
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